塞翁失马，焉知非福
Thucydides Trap: Graham Allison coined the term the Thucydides Trap to argue for the possibility of a war between the United States and China. It is based on an observation by Thucydides in his History of the Peloponnesian War that “it was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable”. There is a book, Destined For War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap? (2017) by Allison.
how about digital empire? 英国最早的全球扩张，本来就和“合法海盗”分不开。十六世纪时，英国女王伊丽莎白一世公开支持像德雷克这样的海盗去抢西班牙商船。抢回来的黄金白银，一部分归王室，一部分归海盗。英国官方甚至给海盗发“私掠许可证”，意思是：平时你是海盗，但只要替国家抢劫，你就是“爱国商人”。很多英国贵族、银行、航运公司，第一桶金都带着海盗血腥味。后来美国崛起。美国西进运动，本质上就是不断扩张、战争、吞并。印第安人的土地被一步步吃掉，墨西哥大片领土被夺走，美西战争后又拿下菲律宾、波多黎各、关岛。再后来，美国依靠两次世界大战建立全球霸权，美元体系和军事基地遍布世界。
book: Digital Empires: The Global Battle to Regulate Technology, by Anu Bradford
meshtastic LoRa - long range wireless, AES-256 encyption, meshtastic github
西汉·刘安《淮南子·人间训·塞翁失马》
近塞上之人有善术者，马无故亡而入胡。人皆吊之，其父曰：“此何遽不为福乎？”居数月，其马将胡骏马而归。人皆贺之，其父曰：“此何遽不能为祸乎？”家富良马，其子好骑，堕而折其髀。人皆吊之，其父曰：“此何遽不为福乎？”居一年，胡人大入塞，丁壮者引弦而战。近塞之人，死者十九。此独以跛之故，父子相保。故福之为祸，祸之为福，化不可极深不可测也。
tech as a new colonist
how power in the modern world is increasingly exercised not just through military force, but through technology, finance and control over information.
Baldur Bjarnason tech as colonist
AP
investment and market
- gold
The price of gold has an inverse correlation with US dollar. When the dollar is strong, the price of gold falls. It has something to do with the interest too because gold has no interest. So if the interest is going to rise, then the price of gold might drop. When the inflation is rising, the interest rate may go up. Then the price of gold may drop. In the event of war and other disasters, the price of gold may go up.
theory of the world
there are a lot of theory about the world. science is developed based on the theory of philosophy and the experiments of trial. however there are still unknowns in the wild world and the human society. so many theories are there without validations. still we need theories to operate in the unknown and to answer our questions.
释迦牟尼说人人皆佛，信则有，不信则无。他的理论是为了回答一个问题，人如何可以不再受苦。康德说人人都能思考，因为先验知识存在于每个人的头脑；理性自带边界，那些不基于经验的想法可真可伪存乎一心。他的理论是为了探究人能否通过主观经验获得可靠的客观知识。佛陀和康德两人都已觉悟，他们深知思考的力量，而你也可以做到。
books
- A Fabulous Debt: The Epic Story of How Bonds Built the Modern World, 2026, by Robin Wigglesworth