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    <title>塞翁失馬 on un01s notes</title>
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      <title>塞翁失馬</title>
      <link>https://un01s.github.io/notes/posts/20260514/</link>
      <pubDate>Thu, 14 May 2026 11:44:05 -0600</pubDate>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;塞翁失马，焉知非福&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&#34;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wilbur_Schramm&#34;&gt;Wilbur Schramm 1907-1987 施拉姆&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&#34;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thucydides_Trap&#34;&gt;Thucydides Trap&lt;/a&gt;: &lt;a href=&#34;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Graham_Allison&#34;&gt;Graham Allison&lt;/a&gt; coined the term the Thucydides Trap to argue for the possibility of a war between the United States and China. It is based on an observation by Thucydides in his History of the Peloponnesian War that &amp;ldquo;it was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable&amp;rdquo;. There is a book, Destined For War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides&amp;rsquo;s Trap? (2017) by Allison.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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